Points Down Bryant Hawks

Basketball Betting Lines

New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Boston Celtics forward Paul Pierce and San Antonio Spurs guard Tony Parker were named the Eastern and Western Conference Players of the Week, respectively, for the week ending February 5. Pierce averaged 22.0 points, 6.3 assists and 5.8 rebounds to help the Celtics get to 4-0 last week. He had 30 points, seven rebounds and five helpers in a 91-89 win over New York on Friday.

 

Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cleveland Cavaliers waived guard Mychel Thompson on Monday. The rookie played in five games this season and averaged 3.6 points and 1.4 assists in 19 minutes per game.

 

Oakland, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Golden State Warriors have waived center Earl Barron and recalled forward Chris Wright from the Dakota Wizards of the NBA Development League. Barron averaged 2.0 points in just two games for the Warriors. He was originally signed as a free agent on January 13.

 

Chauncey Billups had 18 points but left the game midway through the fourth quarter after twisting his left ankle. He didn't return.

 

Dwight Howard scored 33 points to go with 14 rebounds while Jameer Nelson returned from a five-game absence following a concussion and finished with 15 points and 12 assists. Orlando had its three-game winning streak snapped.

 

But Steve Novak totaled 19 points in a reserve role, Jared Jeffries added 13 points, Bill Walker had 11 and Tyson Chandler contributed 10 in the Knicks' second straight win.

 

Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steve Nash scored 24 points and handed out 11 assists, as the Phoenix Suns downed the Atlanta Hawks, 99-90 at Philips Arena. Channing Frye contributed 19 points and nine rebounds, while Michael Redd and Jared Dudley each netted 10 for the Suns, winners in three of their last four.

 

Willie Green scored 12 of his 14 points in the fourth quarter, helping Atlanta trim its 84-64 deficit entering the frame to nine, 94-85, with just over three minutes left.

 

Atlanta pulled within 55-48 at halftime, and was as close as two before allowing the Suns to end the third quarter on a 24-6 flurry.

 

Game Notes

 

The Suns have won four straight meetings against the Hawks...Phoenix won the battle on the glass, 45-35, and made 11 three-pointers...Atlanta shot 6-of-24 from behind the arc...Atlanta ends its homestand against the Pacers on Wednesday...The Hawks outscored the Suns at the foul line, 18-6.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

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